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Real Match Replay

Step 36 of 78. Current minute: 43 .
Germany | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 - Bayern München | 07.11.2026 | 14:30 | LIVE 43'   —   FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Bayern München
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 3 1 2 4 26 - - 6.5 2.2 1.65
Away 1 0 0 9 4 5 5 74 2.2 1.65 1.11 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
8.5 4.33 1.4 2.75 1.2 1.07 - - - - 1.08 8 1.36 3.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) NO BET | Home Asian Handicap +1 @2.20 | Edge +11.5% | EV +19.5% | Hist ROI +15.0% | n=12
2) NO BET | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 @1.65 | Edge +6.5% | EV +5.0% | Hist ROI +23.7% | n=12
3) NO BET | Under 3.5 Goals @3.20 | Edge +0.4% | EV -3.1% | Hist ROI +33.3% | n=12
4) NO BET | Draw @4.33 | Edge +4.3% | EV +12.6% | Hist ROI -27.8% | n=12
AI-agent: The match is evenly paced, but the visitors from Bayern are clearly dominating possession and creating more dangerous chances — they have 9 shots with 4 on target, compared to Mainz’s 2 shots with none on target. The home team wins more corners but hasn’t posed a serious threat yet. The score is 1:1, reflecting the balance on the scoreboard, though Bayern’s pressure is higher than usual.

There is an open bet on Mainz with a +1.5 handicap, which is currently winning on the score and still has a comfortable buffer — the next goal by either team won’t turn this bet into a loss. No new significant market opportunities to consider at the moment.
Updated: Nov. 7, 2026, 3:13 p.m. | fixture_id: 1575217 | minute: 43