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Real Match Replay

Step 37 of 78. Current minute: 44 .
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Germany | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 - Bayern München | 07.11.2026 | 14:30 | LIVE 44'   —   FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Bayern München
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 3 1 2 4 26 - - 6.5 2.15 1.62
Away 1 0 0 9 4 5 5 74 2.25 1.68 1.11 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
8.5 4.33 1.4 2.75 1.2 1.07 - - - - 1.08 8 1.36 3.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) NO BET | Under 3.5 Goals @3.20 | Edge +0.4% | EV -3.1% | Hist ROI +45.5% | n=11
2) NO BET | Home Asian Handicap +1 @2.15 | Edge +10.5% | EV +16.8% | Hist ROI +4.1% | n=11
3) NO BET | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 @1.62 | Edge +5.6% | EV +3.4% | Hist ROI +18.2% | n=11
4) NO BET | Draw @4.33 | Edge +4.3% | EV +12.6% | Hist ROI -21.2% | n=11
AI-agent: The match is evenly paced, but the visitors from Bayern are clearly dominating possession and creating more dangerous chances — they have 9 shots with 4 on target, compared to Mainz’s 3 shots and 1 on target. The home team is defending actively and using corners, but hasn’t been able to turn the game around yet. The score is 1:1, the game is tense, but Bayern’s pressure is higher than usual.

There is an open bet on Mainz with a +1.5 handicap, which is currently winning on the score and still has a good buffer — the next goal by either team won’t cause this bet to lose. Among the top 4 markets, the +1 handicap on the home team stands out with good potential, but no new positions are being opened at the moment. We continue to monitor the situation.
Updated: Nov. 7, 2026, 3:14 p.m. | fixture_id: 1575217 | minute: 44