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Real Match Replay

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Germany | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 - Bayern München | 07.11.2026 | 14:30 | LIVE 65'   —   FSV Mainz 05 0:2 Bayern München
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 8 0 8 5 30 - - 51 - -
Away 2 0 0 14 6 8 5 70 - - 1 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
67 21 1.01 21 1.01 1 - - - - 1.28 3.75 2.3 1.61
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) WATCH | Under 3.5 Goals @1.61 | Edge +0.5% | EV -4.3% | Hist ROI -3.1% | n=25
2) NO BET | Under 2.5 Goals @3.75 | Edge -1.6% | EV -10.3% | Hist ROI -10.0% | n=25
3) BLOCKED | Home — Draw No Bet @51.00 | Edge +5.2% | EV +264.0% | Hist ROI -100.0% | n=25
4) BLOCKED | Home Win @67.00 | Edge +1.8% | EV +119.3% | Hist ROI -100.0% | n=25
AI-agent: The visitors from Bayern are clearly dominating the match with 70% possession, 13 shots and 5 on target, compared to Mainz’s 7 shots and none on target. The home team is trying to create chances but hasn’t managed any dangerous shots on goal yet. The game is progressing at a normal pace, but Bayern’s pressure is noticeably higher than usual, making them look much more threatening.

Among the top 4 betting markets, the under 3.5 total goals bet stands out, though it’s currently just a watch option without a clear edge.

In your portfolio, you have an open bet on Mainz with a +1.5 handicap at the 0:2 scoreline. This bet is currently losing, but if Mainz scores the next goal, it will move into profit. However, Bayern’s strong pressure increases the risk for this position.
Updated: Nov. 7, 2026, 3:58 p.m. | fixture_id: 1575217 | minute: 65