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Real Match Replay

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Germany | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 - Bayern München | 07.11.2026 | 14:30 | LIVE 20'   —   FSV Mainz 05 0:1 Bayern München
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 18 - - 19 - -
Away 1 0 0 5 3 2 3 82 - - 1.02 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
21 11 1.08 8 1.05 1.01 - - 1.02 17 1.14 5.5 1.44 2.75
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) WATCH | Under 3.5 Goals @2.75 | Edge +0.5% | EV -4.1% | Hist ROI +11.5% | n=37
2) NO BET | Under 2.5 Goals @5.50 | Edge -1.2% | EV -12.0% | Hist ROI -10.8% | n=37
3) BLOCKED | Home — Draw No Bet @19.00 | Edge +5.8% | EV +107.0% | Hist ROI -43.2% | n=37
4) BLOCKED | Home Win @21.00 | Edge +5.2% | EV +104.0% | Hist ROI -43.2% | n=37
AI-agent: The visitors from Bayern are confidently dominating the game: they have 82% possession, made 5 shots with 3 on target, and earned 3 corners. The home team Mainz has been very modest in attack so far, with just 1 shot and 1 corner, and no shots on target. Overall, the match is progressing at a normal pace, but Bayern’s pressure is significantly higher than usual, as reflected in the stats.

Among the current betting options, the under 3.5 goals market at odds of 2.75 is the most promising to watch. Other markets are either too risky or currently unavailable.

There are no open bets in the portfolio, so the system continues to monitor the situation.
Updated: Nov. 7, 2026, 2:49 p.m. | fixture_id: 1575217 | minute: 20