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Real Match Replay

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France | Ligue 1 | Nice - Lille | 20.09.2026 | 16:15 | LIVE 66'   —   Nice 1:0 Lille
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 8 2 6 2 44 - 2.75 1.14 - -
Away 0 0 0 10 4 6 5 56 - - 5.5 1.43 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.53 3.4 8 1.08 1.3 2.38 - - 1.43 2.75 3 1.38 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) WATCH | Away Asian Handicap +1 @1.43 | Edge +17.9% | EV +19.3% | Hist ROI -8.3% | n=365
2) WATCH | Home Win @1.53 | Edge +6.3% | EV +3.0% | Hist ROI +6.3% | n=365
3) WATCH | Under 2.5 Goals @1.38 | Edge +0.2% | EV -5.4% | Hist ROI +10.8% | n=365
4) WATCH | Under 1.5 Goals @2.75 | Edge -0.9% | EV -8.7% | Hist ROI +10.8% | n=365
AI-agent: The match is evenly paced, but the visitors from Lille look more dangerous—they have more shots on goal (10 to 8), more shots on target (4 to 2), and more corners (5 to 2). Lille also holds a slight possession advantage at 55%. The home team, Nice, leads 1:0, but Lille’s pressure is noticeably higher than usual.

There is an open bet on a home win at odds of 3.25, which is currently winning with the score. However, if Lille scores the next goal, this bet will immediately lose, so the risk has increased due to Lille’s pressure.

Among the top four markets, the most interesting bet right now is on a home win at around 1.57 odds—this looks promising, though its expected profit is slightly below the threshold. The +1 handicap on Lille and the under 2.5 goals bets are not very convincing at the moment.
Updated: Sept. 20, 2026, 5:41 p.m. | fixture_id: 1552770 | minute: 66