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Real Match Replay

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France | Ligue 1 | Auxerre - Stade Brestois 29 | 20.09.2026 | 14:00 | LIVE 31'   —   Auxerre 0:1 Stade Brestois 29
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 42 - - 5.5 2.02 1.52
Away 1 0 0 4 1 3 2 58 2.42 1.82 1.14 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
7.5 4.33 1.44 2.62 1.2 1.08 - - 1.1 7 1.5 2.62 2.5 1.53
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) BET | Home Asian Handicap +1 @2.02 | Edge +34.6% | EV +66.1% | Hist ROI +7.7% | n=488
2) BET | Home — Draw No Bet @5.50 | Edge +5.5% | EV +24.8% | Hist ROI +10.3% | n=488
3) WATCH | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 @1.52 | Edge +29.6% | EV +38.8% | Hist ROI +2.8% | n=488
4) WATCH | Under 3.5 Goals @1.53 | Edge +1.9% | EV -2.1% | Hist ROI +9.6% | n=488
AI-agent: The visitors from Stade Brestois 29 are noticeably more active and dangerous on the field: they have already made 4 shots, with 1 on target, while the home team Auxerre has yet to have a single shot on target. The visitors also have higher possession at 58%, creating more corners and pressure. The home team is trying to hold on to the ball but hasn’t created any serious threats so far.

There are two open bets in the portfolio: a bet on the home team to win with a refund if it’s a draw (DNB_H), and a +1.5 handicap on the home team (AH_HOME+1.5). The first bet is currently losing based on the score, and if the visitors score again, the risk will increase. The second bet is winning now and will remain profitable even if the home team scores next.

Among the top 4 market options, the Asian handicap +1 on the home team looks the most promising with good potential. Other options are less attractive at the moment.
Updated: Sept. 20, 2026, 2:31 p.m. | fixture_id: 1552766 | minute: 31