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Real Match Replay

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Italy | Serie A | Parma - Genoa | 20.09.2026 | 14:00 | LIVE 66'   —   Parma 1:0 Genoa
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 44 - 3.1 1.1 - -
Away 0 0 0 7 3 4 5 56 - - 7 1.35 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.44 3.5 11 1.05 1.28 2.62 - - 1.68 2.15 4.5 1.2 13 1.04
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) BET | Home Win @1.44 | Edge +6.7% | EV +3.3% | Hist ROI +5.9% | n=199
2) WATCH | Away Asian Handicap +1 @1.35 | Edge +18.1% | EV +18.5% | Hist ROI -11.3% | n=199
3) WATCH | Under 1.5 Goals @2.15 | Edge -0.8% | EV -7.6% | Hist ROI +7.0% | n=199
4) WATCH | Over 1.5 Goals @1.68 | Edge +0.8% | EV -4.5% | Hist ROI -15.8% | n=199
AI-agent: The visitors from Genoa are noticeably more active and dangerous on the field, with 7 shots (3 on target) and 5 corners, holding 56% possession. The home team Parma is currently defending and has created only a couple of shots, one on target, but they lead 1:0. Genoa’s pressure is significantly higher than usual as they clearly aim to equalize.

There is an open bet on the home team to win at odds of 3.5, which is currently winning based on the score. However, Genoa’s increased pressure raises the risk, as their next goal could turn this position into a loss.

Among the top 4 markets, the best option now appears to be a bet on the home team to win at around 1.53 odds, showing positive potential. A +1 handicap on Genoa and over 1.5 total goals are less attractive at the moment, while a -1 handicap on the home team looks risky.
Updated: Sept. 20, 2026, 3:28 p.m. | fixture_id: 1550134 | minute: 66