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Real Match Replay

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Italy | Serie A | Parma - Genoa | 20.09.2026 | 14:00 | LIVE 54'   —   Parma 1:0 Genoa
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 48 - 3.45 1.18 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 2 4 4 52 - - 4.5 1.3 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.67 3.2 7 1.1 1.33 2.1 - - 1.45 2.67 3.1 1.35 9 1.07
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) BET | Home Win @1.67 | Edge +8.0% | EV +8.1% | Hist ROI +15.3% | n=234
2) WATCH | Away Asian Handicap +1 @1.30 | Edge +16.6% | EV +16.0% | Hist ROI -16.4% | n=234
3) WATCH | Under 2.5 Goals @1.35 | Edge +0.8% | EV -4.8% | Hist ROI +0.4% | n=234
4) WATCH | Over 1.5 Goals @1.45 | Edge +0.7% | EV -4.9% | Hist ROI -8.3% | n=234
AI-agent: The away team is currently more active and dangerous, with more shots (6 to 2), shots on target (2 to 1), and corners (4 to 1). They have slightly more possession at 52%, and their pressure is higher than usual, while the home team has created few threats so far. The score is 1:0 in favor of Parma, but Genoa is controlling the game.

There is an open bet on the home team to win at odds of 3.5, which is currently winning on the scoreboard. However, the increased pressure from the away team raises the risk, as the next goal by Genoa could change the situation.

Among the top four markets, the home win at around 1.67 odds looks the most promising. Other markets, including the +1.0 handicap on the away team and totals, do not show a clear advantage at this time.
Updated: Sept. 20, 2026, 3:16 p.m. | fixture_id: 1550134 | minute: 54