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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Napoli | 20.09.2026 | 11:30 | LIVE 64'   —   Fiorentina 1:1 Napoli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 12 2 10 2 47 - - 1.98 - -
Away 1 0 0 8 2 6 2 53 - - 1.88 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.6 2.05 3.4 1.3 1.67 1.25 - - - - 1.53 2.5 3.5 1.3
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) WATCH | Under 2.5 Goals @2.50 | Edge -0.6% | EV -6.4% | Hist ROI +13.4% | n=355
2) WATCH | Under 3.5 Goals @1.30 | Edge +1.1% | EV -3.8% | Hist ROI +7.7% | n=355
3) WATCH | Draw @2.05 | Edge -3.6% | EV -13.1% | Hist ROI +5.7% | n=355
4) WATCH | Home — Draw No Bet @1.83 | Edge +1.9% | EV -4.9% | Hist ROI -5.6% | n=355
AI-agent: The game is evenly paced, with a slight advantage for the home team in dangerous chances: Fiorentina has more shots and corners, while Napoli holds a bit more possession. Both teams have had two shots on target each, but the match tempo remains low and balanced. The score is 1:1, with no red cards, and the game is tight and competitive.

There is an open bet on the home team with a +1.5 handicap, which is currently winning on the scoreboard and has a comfortable buffer—any next goal by either team will not turn this bet into a loss. Among the top four markets, the under 2.5 total goals bet stands out but does not yet seem attractive to open. The system continues to monitor the match developments.
Updated: Sept. 20, 2026, 12:59 p.m. | fixture_id: 1550130 | minute: 64