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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Napoli | 20.09.2026 | 11:30 | LIVE 49'   —   Fiorentina 0:1 Napoli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 1 5 1 44 - - 6 1.8 1.38
Away 1 0 0 7 2 5 2 56 3 2.05 1.12 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
8.5 4 1.44 2.62 1.22 1.07 - - 1.25 4 2.08 1.73 4.5 1.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) WATCH | Home Asian Handicap +1 @1.80 | Edge +27.7% | EV +45.7% | Hist ROI -1.0% | n=452
2) WATCH | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 @1.38 | Edge +22.9% | EV +25.8% | Hist ROI -4.5% | n=452
3) WATCH | Under 2.5 Goals @1.73 | Edge -0.6% | EV -6.9% | Hist ROI +1.5% | n=452
4) WATCH | Home — Draw No Bet @6.00 | Edge +1.0% | EV +0.8% | Hist ROI -8.8% | n=452
AI-agent: After the break, Napoli continues to control the game and looks more dangerous — the visitors have more shots and corners, with 56% possession. Fiorentina has yet to create significant chances but is trying to become more active. The match pace is low, with the visitors applying slightly more pressure than usual, while the home team is playing below their standard.

There is an open bet on Fiorentina with a +1.5 handicap, and since they are currently leading, this provides a good cushion. However, if Napoli scores the next goal, this position will turn unprofitable. Among market options, the +1 handicap on the home team stands out with good potential but is currently only being monitored.
Updated: Sept. 20, 2026, 12:43 p.m. | fixture_id: 1550130 | minute: 49