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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Napoli | 20.09.2026 | 11:30 | LIVE 43'   —   Fiorentina 0:1 Napoli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 5 1 4 1 46 - - 5.5 1.77 1.38
Away 1 0 0 4 2 2 1 54 3 2.1 1.14 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
7 4 1.5 2.5 1.22 1.1 - - 1.17 5 1.82 2.02 3.5 1.3
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) WATCH | Home Asian Handicap +1 @1.77 | Edge +27.3% | EV +44.7% | Hist ROI +1.6% | n=468
2) WATCH | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 @1.38 | Edge +22.9% | EV +25.8% | Hist ROI -3.3% | n=468
3) WATCH | Home — Draw No Bet @5.50 | Edge +1.1% | EV +0.5% | Hist ROI +2.9% | n=468
4) WATCH | Under 3.5 Goals @1.30 | Edge +1.1% | EV -3.8% | Hist ROI +1.9% | n=468
AI-agent: The game is progressing at a calm pace. Napoli is slightly dominating possession and creating more dangerous chances, with 2 shots on target compared to Fiorentina’s 1. Both teams are roughly equal in corners and total shots. Napoli’s pressure is a bit higher than usual, while Fiorentina’s is below their normal level. The score is 0:1 in favor of Napoli, and the match remains balanced but with a slight advantage to the visitors.

There is an open bet on Fiorentina with a +1.5 handicap, which is currently winning since Fiorentina is behind on the scoreboard. The next goal by the home team won’t hurt this bet, but if Napoli scores again, the bet will lose. Among market options, the +1 handicap on the home team at odds of 1.80 looks promising, though no position has been opened yet. The system continues to monitor the match.
Updated: Sept. 20, 2026, 12:16 p.m. | fixture_id: 1550130 | minute: 43