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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Napoli | 20.09.2026 | 11:30 | LIVE 38'   —   Fiorentina 0:1 Napoli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 1 3 1 40 - - 5 1.8 1.4
Away 1 0 0 4 2 2 1 60 2.85 2.05 1.17 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
7 4 1.5 2.5 1.22 1.1 - - 1.14 5.5 1.7 2.1 3.2 1.36
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) WATCH | Home Asian Handicap +1 @1.80 | Edge +27.7% | EV +45.7% | Hist ROI -0.6% | n=473
2) WATCH | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 @1.40 | Edge +23.8% | EV +27.3% | Hist ROI -4.7% | n=473
3) WATCH | Under 3.5 Goals @1.36 | Edge +1.1% | EV -2.9% | Hist ROI +2.3% | n=473
4) WATCH | Home — Draw No Bet @5.00 | Edge +1.2% | EV +0.4% | Hist ROI -6.8% | n=473
AI-agent: The game is progressing at a steady pace, with Napoli slightly dominating, holding 60% possession and having more shots on target—2 compared to Fiorentina’s 1. Both teams are equal in corners, and the overall danger in the match is balanced. Fiorentina has yet to create serious threats, while the visitors control the flow of the game.

There is an open bet on Fiorentina +1.5 handicap at the score 0:1, which is currently winning and still has good chances. However, if Napoli scores the next goal, this position will lose. Among market options, the Fiorentina +1 handicap at around 1.88 odds is worth watching as the most promising choice.
Updated: Sept. 20, 2026, 12:11 p.m. | fixture_id: 1550130 | minute: 38